How every Premier League gameweek 26 fixture should have ended, according to statistics

How every Premier League gameweek 26 fixture should have ended, according to statistics
Manchester City striker Sergio Aguero may have hit a hat-trick against Chelsea in his team’s 6-0 victory at the Etihad Stadium but he also missed an absolute sitter.Found at the back post, all the Argentinian had to do was slot home with Kepa Arrizabalaga towards the other side of his goal and no defender near him.Yet in trying to control his effort and place it close to the near post he ended up rustling the side netting.Sergio Aguero scored his second hat-trick in three games10
Sergio Aguero scored his second hat-trick in three games
It’s these moments when expected goals come in handy, according to Understat.com the shot had a value of 0.46, so it wasn’t quite as likely as it seemed.Still, City romped to a tremendous victory and even the statistics suggest 6-0 wasn’t flattering of Pep Guardiola’s side, suggesting the value of their shots was around 4.04 goals. But what about the rest of the weekend’s games? Do the results we got reflect what actually happened?Find out below how every team performed compared to their expected goals in the 24th round ofPremier Leaguematches thanks to statistics from Understat.com…

What is expected goals?

  • Expected goals (xG) is a statistic used to work out how many goals should be scored in a match.
  • Every single shot is awarded an xG value based on the difficulty of the attempt, with factors including distance from goal, type of shot and number of defenders present affecting the value.
  • The higher the xG of a particular shot, the more likely a goal should be scored from that shot.
  • The xG value of every shot in a game is then used to calculate the expected goals in a particular match.

Fulham vs Manchester United

Real result: 0-3xG result: 2.18-2.11Anthony Martial celebrates scoring for Manchester United against Fulham.10
Anthony Martial celebrates scoring for Manchester United against Fulham.

Crystal Palace vs West Ham United

Real result: 1-1xG result: 2.47-1.74Pablo Zabaleta and Wilfried Zaha battle at Selhurst Park.10
Pablo Zabaleta and Wilfried Zaha battle at Selhurst Park.

Watford vs Everton

Real result: 1-0xG result: 1.53-0.65Andre Gray celebrates a rare goal this season for the Hornets.10
Andre Gray celebrates a rare goal this season for the Hornets.

Southampton vs Cardiff City

Real result: 1-2xG result: 1.64-0.40Joe Ralls can’t hide his glee at Kenneth Zohore’s winner.10
Joe Ralls can’t hide his glee at Kenneth Zohore’s winner.

Liverpool vs Bournemouth

Real result: 3-0xG result: 2.53-0.39Liverpool superstar Mohamed Salah celebrates against Bournemouth.10
Liverpool superstar Mohamed Salah celebrates against Bournemouth.

Huddersfield Townvs Arsenal

Real result: 1-2xG result: 1.16-1.79Alex Iwobi sees his shot saved by Jonas Lossl.10
Alex Iwobi sees his shot saved by Jonas Lossl.

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Burnley

Real result: 1-3xG result: 1.27-1.79It was a controversial match between Brighton and Burnley.10
It was a controversial match between Brighton and Burnley.

Tottenham Hotspur vs Leicester City

Real result: 3-1xG result: 1.21-2.76Tottenham stars Christian Eriksen and Harry Winks were delighted during the win over Leicester.10
Tottenham stars Christian Eriksen and Harry Winks were delighted during the win over Leicester.

Manchester City vs Chelsea

Real result: 6-0xG result: 4.04-0.90Raheem Sterling starred for Manchester City.10
Raheem Sterling starred for Manchester City.


Neymar is a star in Paris

Manchester City are not interested in signing Sporting Lisbon midfielder Bruno Fernandes, according to reports. The Manchester Evening News claim that club sources have notified them that the 24-year-old is not a transfer target this summer, and thus will not be entering into talks with his representatives.
Man Utd transfer news: Bruno Fernandes signing 'very close

The duo had a heated discussion before the penalty miss
Charlton vs Sunderland play-off final: Sasa Ilic will be at

Hazard made no mistake

Manchester United vs Barcelona: match report. Fans of the Red Devils will have taken notice of the game in Villarreal last week where their Catalan opponents conceded four goals against a side
5 games to watch: Manchester United and Liverpool renew their

Manchester United were beaten 2-0 by rivals City and manager Solskjaer only wants to keep players with the right attitude
Manchester United vs Manchester City: The worrying derby

Lionel Messi continues to defy description after yet another stunning hat-trick

I might be in the minority but I hate Manchester United far more than I do Spurs. I have been following Arsenal since 2000 and during this time United have been a powerful threat, overtaking us in supremacy and winning endless trophies on end in a sheer arrogant and entitled fashion.The 8-2 humiliation still gives me nightmares and the RVP
Should Wenger prioritise the Cup? + A signing, but not the

United succumbed to a 4-0 thrashing at Everton at the weekend

Roland Duchatelet EXCLUSIVE: Charlton Athletic owner says sale of club may 'possibly' be completed by January Written by: fpnews Posted on: December 21, 2018 Charlton Athletic owner Roland Duchatelet has revealed to talkSPORT he may not be Charlton owner in January.
Exclusive: Charlton Athletic owner Roland Duchatelet blocks

The 24-year-old has been the subject of plenty of media scrutiny throughout his career

West Ham United midfielder Declan Rice has said he is "not thinking about" speculation linking him with a move to Manchester United as he is happy in east London. The Red Devils look set for a
Declan Rice: Special to win in front of West Ham legend Billy

Liverpool star Mohamed Salah saw his stats upgraded in the game last season

Manchester United transfer news: Gareth Bale would be 'huge asset' at Old Trafford, insists former Red Devils supervendor June 10, 2019 Talksport Deal Score 0
NewsNow: Manchester United News, Man Utd Transfer News

Defoe has been typically efficient for Rangers

Eden Hazard, Luka Jovic and the Europa League Team of the Tournament as selected by talkSPORT The Europa League hasn't failed to excite this season. For the first time since the UEFA Cup became the Europa League in the 2009/10 season, the final will be talkSPORT 3 days ago Also reported by •Football.london •Daily Star •WorldNews
LIVE Luka Jovic News | One News Page

This angle suggests Kane was offside in the build-up

Let's look back, from best to worst, at all 13 of the players to have donned the number nine at Chelsea in the Premier League. Good luck Gonzalo! Good luck Gonzalo! 13.
Best and worst of Premier League loan strikers as Gonzalo

Hasenhuttl is known to get quite animated on the touchline

Arsenal have become "a selling club", according to former academy graduate Steve Sidwell, with the ongoing Aaron Ramsey saga highlighting the "frightening" direction in which the club are
Arsenal news: Steve Sidwell makes 'frightening' summer

Dutch superstar Arjen Robben has been suffering from injury problems.

Virgil van Dijk (Dutch pronunciation: [vɑn ˈdɛik]; born 8 July 1991), is a Dutch professional footballer who plays as a centre-back for English Premier League club Liverpool and captains the Netherlands national team.

Stones had a night to forget in Guimares

Transfer news and football gossip: Liverpool join race for Ajax star, Man United target Paulo Dybala, former Arsenal boss Arsene Wenger rejects English job
Transfer news and football gossip: Liverpool join race for

Post a Comment

0 Comments